Sports betting can be extremely profitable if a person know the techniques the particular “smart money” gamblers use to consistently make money. best sports bet today that clever money bettors use is knowing when NOT for you to bet.
Here’s a perfect example. My partner and i analyzed this Western Va vs. Louisville match, and concluded that will West California had often the edge in the game. Nonetheless I actually also understood that there have been a good deal of random and unstable factors, and recommended to a clients that they do not guess on this particular game. Here is my analysis I released prior to the game:
West Florida vs . Louisville
This activity possesses all the signals of being one connected with the most effective games of the year, with both equally teams coming into the overall game 7-0. It’s #3 positioned West Virginia as opposed to. #5 ranked Louisville, each having high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s match was a classic, using Western Virginia coming backside from becoming down large in the independence day quarter to winning inside overtime.
So what’s the action look like this year?
In case this activity were as played at the basic field, West Florida would likely probably be a 4-6 stage favorite. Since the game is in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this will make sense…
West Virginia can be on an unprecedented rotate. These people haven’t lost since April. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they misplaced to Florida Tech. In the last two periods they’re 13-5 ATS at the same time. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last nine video games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their previous 10 ROUTE games.
All these are some very impressive stats that tilt typically the scales in favor regarding WVU intended for tonight’s online game. Plus, the particular added in bonus offer is that WVU will be GETTING +1 point. This might not look like quite a bit, but in a close up match-up such as this, that excess point might make the difference between some sort of push and a loss.
But you may be wondering what with regards to Louisville?
Louisville’s stats are really almost as good since WVU’s -except when that comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their last 10 games, Louisville is simply 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is even now 7-3 ATS into their final 10 home games.
In addition to if you’re leaning to WVU, here’s a frightening stat… Louisville hasn’t lost at your home since 12 , 20, the year 2003! During this current run Louisville is hitting 49. five points for every game in your own home, while hitting only stopping 15. seven points every game in home. In case you failed to do the math, that means due to the fact their own last home reduction they also have averaged beating their opponents by simply about 34 points per game.
Furthermore extraordinary, the average line during these games has only recently been 21 points. That means that Louisville has beaten the particular divide, on average, by simply 13 details per online game at home considering that 2003.
Wow… how can a person go against that?
Here’s the way…
Almost all of those stats were piled up during the june 2006 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been closer to very good than great. They already have got recent games through which they are yet to only scored 35, 3, 24 points. These activities weren’t against Iowa Stycken. or Michigan. They will were being against Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St.
The end result is that this is still a new close match to phone. Nevertheless what I look to get is West Virginia’s protection to carry the moment. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St. can almost all hold Louisville under 40 points, then there’s zero purpose to think WVU can’t have one to this low to middle of the 20’s. My honest suggestion is definitely to lay off this kind of game and not necessarily guess at all. There are usually better game titles this saturday and sunday with more simple benefits.
The final score of the game was Louisville 44, West Va 34. Lousiville won because West Va had 6 fumbles together with allowed Lousiville to come back a new punt for some sort of TD. The bottom line was of which West Virginia’s borders has not been so big they will could very well still win soon after doing so many mistakes. By not betting on this specific activity, people critical about wagering saved money they will can put to better apply on future games.