Sports playing can be quite profitable if a person know the tricks the particular “smart money” bettors use to consistently make funds. One of the primary secrets that smart money bettors use can be knowing when NOT to bet.

Here’s a excellent case in point. My partner and i analyzed often the West Va vs. Louisville video game, and concluded of which West Florida had the edge in the sport. Nevertheless , I actually also came to the realization that there have been a good deal of random and unknown factors, and recommended to a clients that they accomplish not guarantee on this particular game. Here is released just before the game:

West Virginia versus Louisville

This activity provides all the signals of being one connected with the best games regarding the year, together with equally teams coming into the sport 7-0. It’s #3 rated West Virginia vs. #5 ranked Louisville, both together with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s activity was a classic, using West Virginia coming rear from appearing down huge in the 4th one fourth to winning in overtime.

So what’s the action appear like this year?

If this game were as played in a neutral field, West Virginia might probably be a 4-6 point favorite. Since often the game was in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if can make sense…

West Virginia is definitely on an unprecedented roll. That they haven’t lost considering July. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they lost to Las vegas Tech. Inside the last two periods they’re 13-5 ATS likewise. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last being unfaithful video games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their final 10 ROUTE games.

All these are some very extraordinary stats that tilt the particular scales in favor involving WVU regarding tonight’s online game. Plus, this added benefit is that WVU can be GETTING +1 point. This might not look like quite a bit, but in a in close proximity match-up such as this, that extra point could make the change between a push together with a loss.

But what concerning Louisville?

Louisville’s numbers are almost as good because WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their particular final 10 games, Louisville is actually 4-6 ATS. That said, Louisville is even now 7-3 ATS into their very last 10 home game titles.

Together with if you’re leaning towards WVU, here’s a scary stat… Louisville hasn’t lost in your house since Dec 16, 2003! During this recent run Louisville is hitting 49. some points each game in your own home, while averaging only stopping 15. 8 points for every game with home. In case a person didn’t do the math concepts, that means considering their last home damage they’ve averaged beating their own competitors simply by about 34 details per game.

In addition amazing, the average line during these games has only been recently 21 points. That means that Louisville has beaten the particular spread, on average, by 13 details per game at home since the year 2003.

Wow… how can an individual not in favor of that?

Here’s the way…

Many of those stats have been piled up during the 2004 season. Shock as to, 2006, Louisville has been closer to fine than great. They have already experienced recent games by which they are yet to only scored 35, twenty three, 24 points. And the activities weren’t against Oh St. or Michigan. That they were being against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.

Basically the fact that this is still the close match to phone. Although the things i look for is West Virginia’s safety to carry the day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St. can almost all hold Louisville under 30 points, then there’s zero factor to think WVU can’t have one to this low to the middle of 20’s. My honest recommendation is usually to lay off that game and not really guarantee at all. There will be better game titles this weekend break with more clear-cut rewards.

The final score of this game was Louisville 46, West Virginia 34. Lousiville won because West Va had 6 fumbles together with allowed Lousiville to come back some sort of punt for a TD. The results was that will West Virginia’s border has not been so big that they can could very well still win right after generating so many mistakes. By not betting on that video game, people significant concerning wagering saved money that they can put to better apply on coming games.

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