Sports gambling can be extremely profitable if a person know the tricks this “smart money” bettors work with to consistently make cash. One of the primary secrets that sensible money bettors use is definitely knowing when NOT to be able to bet.

Here’s a best illustration. My spouse and i analyzed this Western Florida vs. Louisville match, and concluded that West Virginia had often the edge in the video game. Nonetheless I actually also noticed that there was a great deal of random and unforeseen factors, and recommended to a clients that they do not guess on this particular game. Here is my own analysis I released ahead of the game:

West Va or Louisville

This activity features all the signals of being one associated with the greatest games involving the year, using both equally teams coming into the game 7-0. It’s #3 positioned West Virginia compared to. #5 ranked Louisville, both with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s match was a classic, with Western Virginia coming backside from staying down massive in the fourth 1 / 4 to winning in overtime.

So what’s the sport seem like this year?

In the event that this game were turning into played from a new fairly neutral field, West Florida would likely probably be a 4-6 point favorite. Since often the game is Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if can make sense…

12bet is definitely on an unprecedented move. They haven’t lost since Jan. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they dropped to Va Tech. Inside the last two seasons they’re 13-5 ATS likewise. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 9 activities overall, and 8-2 ATS in their previous 10 PATH games.

All these are some very remarkable stats that tilt the scales in favor associated with WVU for tonight’s online. Plus, the extra bonus is that WVU is GETTING +1 point. This might not look like very much, but in a close up match-up similar to this, that excess point could make the variation between a push together with a loss.

But what regarding Louisville?

Louisville’s gambling are really almost as good as WVU’s -except when that comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In their own past 10 games, Louisville is actually 4-6 ATS. Of which said, Louisville is even now 7-3 ATS into their previous 10 home game titles.

And even if you’re leaning toward WVU, here’s a frightening stat… Louisville hasn’t lost in your house since January 17, 2003! During this latest run Louisville is hitting 49. four points for every game in your own home, while hitting only stopping 15. 8 points every game at home. In case an individual didn’t do the mathematics, that means due to the fact their very own last home loss they are yet to averaged beating their very own adversaries simply by about thirty four items per game.

Furthermore amazing, the average line in these games has only also been 21 points. That methods Louisville has beaten this spread, on average, simply by 13 details per video game at home since the year 2003.

Wow… how can anyone not in favor of that?

Here’s just how…

Almost all of those stats were being established during the july 2004 season. Shock as to, 2006, Louisville has been closer to good than great. They also have experienced recent games by which they have already only scored 35, twenty-three, 24 points. And the video games weren’t against Kansas Saint. or Michigan. That they ended up against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St.

The end result is that will this is still the close match to call. Nevertheless the things i look to get is West Virginia’s safety to carry the working day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St. can just about all hold Louisville under 30 points, then there’s not any reason to think WVU can’t have one to typically the low to middle 20’s. My honest suggestion is usually to lay off this specific game and certainly not bet at all. There happen to be better video games this saturday and sunday with more clear-cut strengths.

The final score in this game was Louisville 44, West Va 34. Lousiville won because West California had 6 fumbles together with allowed Lousiville to give back a good punt for a TD. The results was that will West Virginia’s edge weren’t so big they will can still win soon after doing so many mistakes. By means of not betting on this particular match, people significant about wagering saved money many people can put to better apply on upcoming games.

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