Sports playing is often very profitable if anyone know the techniques typically the “smart money” bettors make use of to consistently make cash. One of the biggest secrets that intelligent money bettors use will be knowing when NOT in order to bet.

Here’s a excellent instance. My partner and i analyzed often the West California vs. Louisville match, and concluded of which West California had often the edge in the activity. Yet , My partner and i also recognized that there was a lot of random and unforeseen factors, and recommended to my clients that they do not gamble on this specific game. Here is the analysis I released before the game:

West Florida vs . Louisville

This sport offers all the indications of being one regarding the ideal games regarding the year, together with equally teams coming into the overall game 7-0. It’s #3 graded West Virginia against. #5 ranked Louisville, each having high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s match was a classic, along with Western Virginia coming rear from appearing down big in the independence day 1 / 4 to winning within overtime.

So what’s the game search like this year?

In the event this video game were as played with a simple field, West California would certainly probably be a 4-6 position favorite. Since typically the game is within Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if will make sense…

West Virginia is on an unprecedented throw. That they haven’t lost given that Oct. 1, 2005, proceeding 14-0 since they missing to Va Tech. Through the last two seasons they’re 13-5 ATS as well. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last nine video games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their previous 10 ROUTE games.

All these are some very impressive stats that tilt often the scales in favor of WVU for tonight’s game. Plus, typically the additional bonus offer is that WVU is GETTING +1 point. This will likely not appear like significantly, but in a close match-up like this, that special point could make the difference between a new push together with a loss.

But you may be wondering what with regards to Louisville?

Louisville’s stats may be almost as good because WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In their very own very last 10 games, Louisville is actually 4-6 ATS. The fact that said, Louisville is even now 7-3 ATS inside their very last 10 home games.

And even if you’re leaning in the direction of WVU, here’s a intimidating stat… Louisville hasn’t missing in your own home since 12 16, 2003! During this existing run Louisville is hitting 49. five points per game at your home, while averaging only quitting 15. 8 points each game from home. In case anyone decided not to do the mathematics, that means due to the fact their last home reduction they’ve averaged beating their very own opposing team simply by about 34 points per game.

In addition remarkable, the average line in these games has only already been 21 points. That method Louisville has beaten typically the spread, on average, by means of 13 points per sport at home due to the fact the year 2003.

Wow… how can a person go against that?

Here’s exactly how…

The majority of those stats were developed during the 2004 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been closer to great than great. They’ve possessed recent games by which they are yet to only scored 36, twenty three, 24 points. That video games weren’t against Ohio Street. or Michigan. These people ended up against Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St.

In essence the fact that this is still some sort of close video game to call. But the things i look to get is West Virginia’s safety to carry the day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St. can all of hold Louisville under 40 points, then there’s not any explanation to think WVU can’t hold them to this low to middle 20’s. My honest advice will be to lay off this kind of game and not gamble at all. There are better game titles this saturday and sunday with more simple benefits.

The final score with this game was Louisville forty-four, West Va 34. Lousiville won because West California had 6 fumbles together with allowed Lousiville to give back a good punt for some sort of TD. The results was that will West Virginia’s advantage wasn’t so big they can still win following doing so many mistakes. By simply not betting on this particular sport, people serious concerning sports betting saved money they will can offer better use on upcoming games.

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