Sports betting is often very profitable if an individual know the secrets this “smart money” bettors work with to consistently make cash. One of the biggest secrets that wise money gamblers use can be knowing when NOT to be able to bet.

Here’s a excellent example of this. I actually analyzed the particular Rest of the world Las vegas vs. Louisville game, and concluded the fact that West California had often the edge in the activity. Yet , My partner and i also realized that there were a lot of random and unforeseen factors, and recommended to my clients that they accomplish not guarantee on this particular game. Here is the analysis I released ahead of the game:

West Virginia versus Louisville

This sport provides all the indicators of being one involving the best games regarding the year, using each teams coming into the game 7-0. It’s #3 rated West Virginia against. #5 ranked Louisville, the two using high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s game was a classic, having Western side Virginia coming rear from becoming down large in the next quarter to winning around overtime.

So what’s the adventure search like this year?

In the event this video game were turning into played at a new simple field, West Las vegas would likely probably be a 4-6 stage favorite. Since the particular game is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this makes sense…

West Virginia can be on an unprecedented throw. They will haven’t lost considering March. 1, 2005, planning 14-0 since they missing to Va Tech. In the last two months they’re 13-5 ATS too. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last on the lookout for video games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their previous 10 STREET games.

All these are some very amazing stats that tilt the scales in favor connected with WVU regarding tonight’s online game. Plus, typically the included added bonus is that WVU will be GETTING +1 point. This can not seem to be like much, but in a shut match-up similar to this, that extra point might make the difference between a new push and even a loss.

But what regarding Louisville?

Louisville’s numbers are really almost as good while WVU’s -except when that comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their final 10 games, Louisville is only 4-6 ATS. Of which said, Louisville is in spite of everything 7-3 ATS within their very last 10 home video games.

Plus if you’re leaning towards WVU, here’s a daunting stat… Louisville hasn’t misplaced at home since 12 16, the year 2003! During this recent run Louisville is averaging 49. some points for each game at home, while hitting only quitting 15. six points every game at home. In case anyone did not do the mathmatical, that means since their own last home damage they are yet to averaged beating their very own oppositions by way of about 34 points per game.

Furthermore extraordinary, the average line during these games has only also been 21 points. That stands for Louisville has beaten the get spread around, on average, by 13 things per video game at home considering that 2003.

Wow… how can an individual not in favor of that?

Here’s how…

Most of those stats ended up developed during the june 2006 season. In 2010, 2006, Louisville has been closer to good than great. They have already possessed recent games through which they already have only scored 35, 3, 24 points. weren’t against Iowa E. or Michigan. They will ended up against Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St.

The end result is of which this is still a good close sport to contact. Nonetheless the things i look to get is West Virginia’s security to carry the moment. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St. can just about all hold Louisville under 25 points, then there’s no explanation to think WVU can’t have one to the low to mid 20’s. My honest suggestion can be to lay off this game and definitely not gamble at all. There are better game titles this end of the week with more simple strengths.

The final score with this game was Louisville 46, West Florida 34. Lousiville won because West Virginia had 6 fumbles in addition to allowed Lousiville to come back a good punt for some sort of TD. The bottom line was that will West Virginia’s advantage had not been so big they will can still win immediately after doing so many mistakes. By way of not betting on this activity, people severe regarding gambling saved money they can put to better employ on approaching games.

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